Quote:
Originally Posted by Parkview_Pirate
Thanks for posting, and the resultant trip down memory lane. I know breeding doesn't hold a candle compared to pace and speed figures, but I'm still surprised how little info there is out online about the Derby. That used to be a HUGE factor 30 years ago, but began drying up after Strike the Gold won and Alydar got his dosage updated.
The Derby this year is very odd with the 2, 3 and 4 start entrants. Sure makes it tough on the confidence. What a tough puzzle.
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One "theory" is to use a horse's speed figures as he stretches out in distance: If those figures get better, from 1 mile to 1 1/16 miles to 1/8 miles, then chances are that he will be a good bet going 1 1/4 miles (in the Derby).