Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
Thanks.
I once used a basketball spreadsheet that would look at the 30 NBA teams, look at who faced who each game, what the score was, who was home and away, and how many days off they had between games. Then Excel would look at all that info and calculate a power rating based on all the results. I could tweak it to weight recent games more, look at key injuries and incorporate other things. It was given to me by an advanced stats guy at Basketball Reference. It sounds like a very similar process to what you are doing, but instead of 30 teams, you are are looking at thousands of horses. It sounds awesome.
By the way, you are correct. Any adjustments I make to my thinking based on subsequent performances are limited to performances in the next race or maybe two. Even that’s limited. There’s no way I can match what a computer can do. All I can hope to do is use my subjective judgement well.
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Correct, similar principles are at work.
