Quote:
Originally Posted by GMB@BP
Looking at the Timeform pace figures its clear he is going to have to go faster than he ever has or come from much further back.
He may be able to do it but the current 2nd or 3rd choice will have to do something he never has done before, come from 5-10 lengths back. His figures are good not great, he needs another move forward which is certainly possible, just not sure its probable.
Generally that gets me into the betting against category. I gave him an 8% chance of winning the race.
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Where the hell was he in 2017? He was a SepYearling purchase in 2016.
3 works june . '17 5 month gap back to work 11/17
Going back to 2013
3 Todd Pletcher Derby horses that didn't start as 2yo in about 20 entrants. Only Patch started later. Verrazano and Materiality were regarded fairly highly.
audible -9/27
vino -11/11
Nblindy -12/3
destin -10/11
outwork -4/13
alw dreaming 7/1
tapwrit 9/3
patch 1/15
carpe diem 9/1
materiality 1/11
stanford 6/29
itsaknockout 12/7
danza 7/12
intense holday 7/27
vinceramos 11/30
charming kitten 7/28
overanalyze 8/9
palice malce 7/05
revltionry 9/3
verazano 1/1
Does it mean anything?? Maybe, maybe not.
