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Old 03-24-2015, 10:17 AM   #35
hcap
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 30,398
You can do better than simply "climate models suck"

Search for "Scholarly articles for success in climate models"

http://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=...ed=0CBwQgQMwAA

From the first pdf format paper:

http://pubman.mpdl.mpg.de/pubman/ite...1-chapter8.pdf

Climate Models and Their Evaluation
Executive Summary

This chapter assesses the capacity of the global climate models used elsewhere in this report for projecting future climate change. Confidence in model estimates of future climate evolution has been enhanced via a range of advances since the IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR).

Climate models are based on well-established physical principles and have been demonstrated to reproduce observed features of recent climate (see Chapters 8 and 9) and past climate changes (see Chapter 6). There is considerable confidence that Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models (AOGCMs) provide credible quantitative estimates of future climate change, particularly at continental and larger scales. Confidence in these estimates is higher for some climate variables (e.g., temperature) than for others (e.g., precipitation).

Also a search for "climate models accuracy"

http://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=...ed=0CBwQgQMwAA
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