Quote:
Originally Posted by Poindexter
Right now most people are just betting into the pools. The caw catches these live horses because they are granted access to the pools and when juiced (live) runner gets pounded late they take that info and incorporate it into their betting. If the people who bet these live runners are able to bet at fixed odds of 10-1 they aren’t going to bet them nearly as much in the regular pools. So the pools that you find so predictive, will be less predictive. I know how bookmakers work, they want risk free money. When they get crushed and they will get crushed, all they are going to be able to do is damage control and guys like you who likely will beat them fairly consistently will be limited.
As far as big races and big racing days, yes that can work. But I don’t think most horse players want just that. They want 7/2 when they bet a horse at 7/2 when the gate is loading. I say this working and being successful is much easier said than done. We will eventually see how it works out. I grant them permission to prove me wrong.
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We'll have to see how it goes. I'm not sure offering fixed odds in the win pool with some reasonable wager size limits imposed is going to keep stables with a live horse out of the horizontals. Maybe, but that's leaving an awful lot of money on the table, to the extent that it's probably a wash if not a net negative to their bottom line. Furthermore it's a gigantic 'look at me' if the action is so out of line with the other pools. Will the fixed odds action be made public as it comes in? It would be interesting to see.
