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Agree 1000%.
If you are willing to put in the time it takes, you can win at this game, of this I have ZERO doubt.
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But win what? Crumbs?
At 11%, I would not be betting much on anything, and I would rather get a part time job than have to live through all that work with so infrequent returns.
My new strategy is to only bet underlays.
Saturday, Bel R7 - the
horse was my pick and I made him 4-1 bet odds.
H won at 2-1 and it occurred to me that as long as the tracks allow some groups far better access to the pools than the vast majority of the bettors, there will be no overlays, but underlays are made by "them." So if something is much lower than I think it should be, then it is a bet. If something is an "overlay" it probably is not worth betting.
I did find two nice overlays Saturday - both at 9-5. The excitement damn near gave me a heart attack.
I did have 6 "winners" I did not bet because they were "underlays."
Those 6 underlays paid far more than my two overlays.
Those "chalk-eating weasels" are eating better than me.