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I'd guess that the majority of those horses bet down in the final dump do in fact attend the pace, with a decent chunk actually making the lead (but I don't have the data, and I could be wrong).
I don't think it's past-posting, but I do think that when a favorite will likely be the controlling speed, it fits a lot of the big-bet models for triggering a play.
I'm guessing that the whales feel that 'late' is the best time to hammer these.
(Pool manipulation aside)Late is the time to bet for the price that YOU(the whale) drive.
I have no idea how much if any significance is given to things like avoiding bad gate actors or very late negatives from the horse as well.
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Last edited by Robert Fischer; 07-02-2018 at 11:08 AM.
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