Quote:
Originally Posted by CincyHorseplayer
Yep Pandy my last 3 years AB contenders less than 2-1.
2016-(-14%)
2017-(-7%)
2018(-11%)
The $6-8 range shows a modest profit. Then things jump up from there. Choosing the right odds range is simply a good foundation for nearly all bets IMO.
|
5-2 seems to be a good cut off for someone who wants to keep their win percentage respectable. Certainly less than 2-1 is brutal in terms of ROI. You know, when you first meet and get a chance to talk to a professional horseplayer, it's usually not the conversation that you expect. They tend to talk more about betting than handicapping. And one of the first things they talk about is the take out. The professional bettors aren't always obsessed with who's going to win, but they're experts when it comes to the math: the size of the pools, the takeout on each type of wager, carryovers, the wagers at each track that tend to generate overlays, the odds range that they can bet to show a profit. Sometimes, that's why they can win, even though they're not necessarily a bettor handicapper than other people who lose. They understand what they're up against and they have the mathematical know how to maximize their chances by making the right bets.
