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Old 11-22-2020, 02:11 PM   #105
Dahoss9698
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 9,047
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer View Post
If she had been 10/1, the whole argument gets flipped, and you have sharps saying "you want to include her in any spreads"...
I think you’re missing the point.

Before the race Princess Noor has a big reputation based on a hefty price tag, workout reports and trainer speak. She had also looked good visually in her races, while running slow doing it. Sharps were salivating to bet against her because she was facing the best field by far she was going to face and she was lengths slower than them in her races. The cherry on top was she figured to be the favorite.

She was going to have to beat by far and away the best field she had faced, while also running much faster than she had shown she can. Sharps looked at the possibility she could do that as being very slim and we’re rewarded handsomely for it.

IMO when you get rid of the background noise of what Baffert says about her and who she was beating in workouts you have a pretty clear cut example of a slow horse who will be at worst 2nd choice facing faster horses.

She was never going to be 10-1. The water is muddy enough in here. Why throw more dirt in?
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