Quote:
Originally Posted by onefast99
What is the future for racing in NJ? According to Pickle it will be like Suffolk, which he is dead wrong but he has his own opinion and that is fine. My take is the state will eventually get the VLTs(under the NJ lottery commission and no vote is needed) into both MP and the Meadowlands which will give enough monies to both tracks to operate in the black.
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This is where you don't make any sense to me...
You think I'm "dead wrong" but I'm literally using a real time example of another track to forecast what happens to Monmouth. Basically Monmouth is early 2000's Suffolk. That the track is in a highly developed area with big land values. That as they race less and less and land prices increase eventually racing becomes unsustainable and the track is developed.
Meanwhile your theory is they finally get slots after literally trying to get them for 20-30 years and not only do they get them but they're successful even though a track with slots exists 90 miles away (Delaware Park) who is on the cusp of ending racing because the slot money isn't enough.
But I'm dead wrong?
You also kind of contradict yourself. Any race track executive will tell you horseman leaving is a canary in the coal mine. Horseman are creatures of habit. Changing your circuit is a big deal because you can't plug in horses into spots like they're objects. You've got to have the right stock to race places. The right type of horses who fit the right type of conditions. That's why its so rare for a guy to show up at a meet for the first time and win a lot. That's why even good trainers often struggle at new circuits. So these guys leaving is HUGE deal. It's not like if things get fixed they just show back up. They make significant investments to change circuits.
So while your top line fantasy is "everything will be ok" even when you explain the landscape there's cracks in your facade.