Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
some good content in this thread
here's my general system
VULNERABLE FAV?
No = Pass
if YES? then Identifiable Overlays?
No = Pass
YES? then is there a PREFERRED OVERLAY?
No = Dutch!
YES?
Yes = just Bet the preferred overlay. |
I have been trying a slightly different method as an experiment over the last 3 months or so. It's an exacta method, I use it only in fields of 7 or more horses...and it goes like this:
I will key the favorite on top only if I think that this favorite is vulnerable. If I deem the favorite to be vulnerable, then I will key it over my top 3 legitimate contenders of the race. If I think that the favorite is VERY vulnerable...then I will key it over my top 4 contenders.
If I think that the favorite is legitimate...then I will exclude it from the top spot of my exactas. I will use my next 3 contenders on top, with my top 4 contenders in the second-place spot, including the "legitimate" favorite. This makes for 9 exacta combinations.
As I said, I have been testing this method with real money for the last 3 months or so...and I am embarrassed to admit that it is proving to be more profitable than any other method in my betting arsenal.
