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Old 01-24-2019, 06:47 PM   #13
Blenheim
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Join Date: Feb 2005
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Negative Ghost Rider . . . the Pattern is Full

The winners of the Jerome, Sham and Lecomte:

1) Class of the field
2) Hadn’t raced in sixty days
3) Showed 6+ works
4) Among first three betting choices
5) Ranked 1st or 2nd in BRIS Prime Power
6) CD fit (2/3)

~

Average DI and CD for 8f: 2.92 0.68

~

Smarty Jones entrants fitting the early winning patterns:

BANKIT - DP = 2-3-7-0-0 (12) DI = 2.43 CD = 0.58
260k - Broke his Mdn @ Sar @ 75k in a race Restricted to NY Breds; (3) Blacktype NY Restricted races in the FunnyCide, Bongard and Sleepy Hollow; (6) weeks off (6) works; returns w/2nd place finish in the 400kL Springboard in a new running style; (3) works @ OP, two sharp w/1 bullet – worked in company w/ Long Range Toddy; good RR; good CR; even speed figures with highest @ 98; appears to be the class of the field; expect improvement, no excuses; CD fits 9.5f.

FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY - DP = 3-11-12-0-0 (26) DI = 3.33 CD = 0.65
300k - Broke his Mdn @ Dmr @ 60k T; 4th in the DelMar Juv Turf and 9th in the G3 Bourbon; switches to dirt with an easy win in OC75k; two months off w/(5) works two sharp w/1 bullet; below par figures, highest 91; positive jock switch; expect improvement; CD fits.

LONG RANGE TODDY - DP = 4-11-9-0-0 (24) DI = 4.33 CD = 0.79

17.5k - Broke his Mdn @ 33k @ RP; comes back in the 100kL Clevor Trevor, wins; advances in the 400k L Springboard, wins/holds sway; (3) works @ OP, two sharp w/1 bullet - worked in company w/Bankit; good RR; good CR, but averages below Bankit; should be tough; CD fits 6.5f.


Interesting and perplexing race.

Asmussen trains Bankit and Long Range Toddy, looks like they worked in company. Judging by his running lines, Asmussen is trying to rate Bankit or control his speed. He was off almost two months, put in six works came back fresh and missed by a head; I figure his last race was a prep for this one. Long Range Toddy should be tough here, has the favored post, but appears outclassed.

“Listed stakes deserve the special attention of handicappers, since few racegoers are even aware this category of stakes exists, and listed winners can regularly throttle their open but unlisted counterparts. (Quinn, 2000)


Following the pattern . . .



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