Quote:
Originally Posted by ReplayRandall
Out of 23 winners, 11 of them were 15-1 and higher:
58.00
56.40
55.60
50.60
48.80
46.00
42.40
41.60
39.80
38.00
33.80
-------
Total- $511.00
So, 47% of your total winners produced 69% of your payback.
It appears you might have a profitable selection method, so far.
My suggestion to you would be to make conditional wagers with 0 or 1 minute to post, through Xpressbet or another entity who have this feature, and bet all 3 picks conditionally at minimum 15-1 in each race, thus forgetting the highly erratic morning line......Just set it, and forget it......Good Luck..
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Aner, I truly enjoy following your picks every Saturday for the first half of 2015. I love enhancing methodologies that appear to have promise, yours being one of them. I have revised my previous post in order to get maximum potential, while having limited info. Here is what I see:
1st Quarter Results-
Out of 23 winners, 14 of them were
11-1 and higher:
58.00
56.40
55.60
50.60
48.80
46.00
42.40
41.60
39.80
38.00
33.80
31.20
28.00
26.40
-------
Total- $596.60
You have 60% of your total winners producing 81% of your payback.
2nd Quarter Results-
Out of 18 winners, 9 of them were
11-1 and higher:
92.40
87.60
57.20
52.60
50.20
31.40
31.20
27.40
25.40
-------
Total- $455.40
You have 50% of your total winners producing 76% of your payback.
1st Half Totals-
Out of 41 winners, 23 of them were
11-1 and higher:
Total payback on these winners-
$1052.00
You have
56% of your total winners producing
79% of your payback
In closing, these are very promising results for a sample size of over 600 bets. It's now up to you, going back to your records and see just how many total bets you had going off at 11-1 or higher to calculate your ROI.
Don't forget to
make conditional wagers with 0 or 1 minute to post, through Xpressbet or another entity who have this feature, and bet all 3 picks conditionally at minimum
11-1 in each race, thus forgetting the highly erratic morning line......Just set it, and forget it......Good Luck...