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Old 03-31-2017, 01:09 PM   #52
johnhannibalsmith
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...and now that I've looked at the race and don't quite feel like I'm lost on the main yet - and figured I ought not clog up the new contest thread with ineligible plays because of the 11 am deadline - I'd maybe be considering using Tricky Posse for the contest.

My first thought is that they rolled the dice on a Finger Lakes maiden winner and claimed a complete bum. That's probably the right take.

But, is it inconceivable that he just absolutely loathed the inner surface? That the claim wasn't a total shot in the dark - he was a big price that day for the $25k - but that they did some due diligence and there is more horse here than he's been showing all winter?

He's 15-1 morning line and I hate every horse in this race. Everyone is vulnerable. Who can improve even some at a square price and get the best of a field that is probably already heavy with horses that will be saying goodbye after they get beat at this level yet again? I think I'd take a shot at the morning line price or better here.
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