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Old 09-30-2017, 02:14 PM   #66
woodbinepmi
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Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Baton Rouge, La
Posts: 1,782
Hong Kongfor at Sha Tin. October 1st, Ninth race meeting of the 2017-2018 year.
Weather report: 87 degrees with 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Wind: E 10 to 15 mph.

Post time: 12.45am ET, 9.45pm PT. Rail: Course “A+3”, track listed: Good to Yielding

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20171001_starter_all.pdf
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard


Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourites on the card:
Race 9 Relentless Me (3-1) Drew the 10 hole in a tough Class 3 race, there are others in here that have run must faster than him and the race he won last out came back very slow for even a Class 4 race. 3-1 no thanks.

Horses coming out of key races (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *773 (3rd and 7th place runners won next out):
Race 1 Flying Noble (2-1)
Race *666 (5th and 9th won while the 2nd place finisher ran second again):
Race 1 Grade One (6-1)
Race *790 (2nd and 7th won):
Race 4 Eastern Prowess (16-1)
Race 029 (winner and runner up have already came back and won while the 5th place finisher ran second):
Race 1 Paddington (18-1)


In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding) with their speed figure on the off track :
Race 2 Ho Ho Feel (6-1) 102
Race 4 A Beautiful (9-5) 99
Race 6 Starship (6-1) 93
Race 7 Dashing Fellow (29-1) 105
Race 8 Seasons Bloom (2-1) 105
Race 9 Calculation (15-1) 100
Race 10 Shamal (12-1) 104
Race 10 Jumbo Luck (8-1) 107

Last race watch list horses:
Race 2 Gorgeous King (7-2) – Raced 2 wide on the turn while running very comfortable, moved to the 6 path in the stretch and was making a move to the front when was checked up at the 200 metre mark, regathered himself and finished well.

Race 2 Gorgeous Again (3-1) – Had been away since July, picked up Moreira for the mount so went off at a short price of 3-1. Hit the side of the gate at the start moved to the three path half-way thru the turn, looked like he may win at the 100 metre mark only to be outrun near the wire.

Race 9 Daring Fit (8-1) – Leaped out of the gate costing him a length and his usual running style of racing near the lead, was boxed in at the 400 metre mark, closed well when clear but was never going to catch the easy winner Pingwu Spark.

Past watch list runners:
Race 8 Winner’s Way (10-1) Race *757
Race 10 House Of Fun (15-1) Race *742

Key Plays:
Race 2 Gorgeous Again (3-1)
Race 9 Darling Fit (8-1)

Longshots:
Race 1 None Other (17-1)
Race 2 Jolly Gene (14-1)
Race 4 Eastern Prowess (17-1)
Race 8 Winner’s Way (10-1)
Race 10 House Of Fun (15-1)


Before the each race meeting I will be publishing a report on the previous race day, including: Speed figures for each race, horses to watch for, horses to avoid next time out, biases, key races and general observations on the day.
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