Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
I'm certain I'd be wrong a LOT of the time on winners, but I think I'd be able guess where the winner was going to come from (front or back) fairly well if I handicapped the race, knew the horses and styles well, and could visually see to race to determine if the development was extreme.
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Watch races in which you have NO knowledge of the horses. This really underscores-extreme scenarios excepted-how many events become pure battles of attrition as seemingly beaten runners re-rally, pace-occupants running under wraps fold just several strides later, and dismissed runners muster one final surge.
Horse races are gut checks that find certain runners pushing on through extreme pain and fatigue (which often has ZERO to do with "reserve racing energy") while others give in. Gut checks sometimes determined by forces we can't explain, much less predict. Gut checks that defy lots of what we hold true (myself INCLUDED..in fact, we ALL focus on flow, both past and predicted) from a visual perspective.