Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
One thing to keep in mind is that we don’t have times for all the subtle 1/16th mile battle or moves that occur, subtle changes in the track condition that can occur and make the track more or less tiring during the card and then maybe back depending on what maintenance is doing, how certain horses get stressed battling, running between horses, in large fields etc.. There are things going on we sort of know about that we can’t measure and they are note the same for every horse.
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Start by trying to predict the winner 3 fur out. I mean during races you have no interest in nor preconceptions concerning. You'll be wrong far more often than you might expect. And that hinted, to me at least, of dynamics in play we know little of.
