Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
I think the first step for me to understanding trips at least a little better was to get away from the "time trial" model of thinking about races where you adjust the final time for the trip and switching to the individual speed, stamina, and total energy model of thinking about horses.
For example, imo it's a mistake adjust a horse's figure for ground loss because he was 4 wide. That ground loss could have been almost meaningless or it could have been brutal. It depends how much energy was consumed and the individual horse.
It's the same with pace and bias.
The impact depends on the energy consumed and the individual horse's balance between it's speed and stamina. There isn't a one size fits all formula because the horses are all different.
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I opened one show last season by advising viewers to avoid "quantifying" trips.
