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FORMULA'S EXACTA PLAYS 09-22-2019
WIILL POST LIVE
THESE EXACTA PLAYS COULD WIN 50 % OF THE TIME.
RESULTS WILL BE CALCULATED USING THE WINNING HORSE OVER MATRIX HORSE, USING THE BET SIZE INDICATED.
SEVERAL METHODS CAN BE USED TO DETERMINE THE EFFECTNESS OF THE PLAY.
1. DETERMINE IF THE EXCATA PAYOUT WAS AN OVERLAY. I POSTED THE CALCULATION FOR THAT AT EXACTAMATRIX .COM.
2. COMPARE THE NORMALIZED $1 EXACTA PAYOUT TO THE $1 WIN BET RETURN.
ASSUMING THE LONG TERM $1 WIN BET WILL RETURN SAY $0.83
THE NORMALIZED $1 EXACTA PAYOUT MUST AVERAGE .83 X .50 = .415
1/.415=2.40.
JUST TO BREAK EVEN THE EXACTA PAYOUT MUST AVERAGE 240% GREATER THAN THE $1 WIN BET PAYOUT .
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Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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