Quote:
Originally Posted by MJC922
There's a lot of moving parts to place and show bets. I'd love to make them work but IMO it's even more complex than win bets. I suppose if you need to average $3 to show you could set a minimum odds requirement 'range' maybe 5/2 - 7/2 ?
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Since the pools are independent, working under this assumption assumes a correlation between the win and show pools that may or may not exist in any given race which invalidates the strategy.
Quote:
Originally Posted by MJC922
and base that final odds requirement range upon the DD probables matrix from the completed first leg.
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Be aware of where CAW money plays and where it does not. Conflating the daily double pools with straight pools - at least at NYRA - does not have the tight correlation that many seek.
Quote:
Originally Posted by MJC922
I don't see how else I could attack that problem. I'm sure others have ways... Anyway the other 'moving part' to it is that some horses just hang and win less so there are imbalances in the place and show pools that will reflect that ratio but may not be entirely visible (until the end when it's too late anyway).
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Identifying horses that hang (or similar factors) is itself what handicapping is all about!
