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Thread: PCT e
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Old 07-08-2016, 09:19 AM   #1
mikesal57
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NEW YORK CITY
Posts: 3,670
PCT e

Lets get back to real handicapping.....

I'm sure most have heard of PctE when dealing with "pace" programs.

In the 1st screen....its obvious where the winner will(should) come from..

But, in the 2nd screen , where do you think the winner is coming from..??

A friend of mine takes ROI over win percentage , I believe its the opposite..

Your thoughts?

Mike

Code:
     query start:         7/8/2016 9:07:50 AM
     query end:           7/8/2016 9:07:51 AM
     elapsed time:        1 seconds

     Data Window Settings:
     Connected to: C:\JCapper\exe\JCapper2.mdb
     999 Divisor  Odds Cap: None

     SQL:  SELECT * FROM STARTERHISTORY
           WHERE TRACK = 'BEL' 
           AND [DATE] >= #01-01-2016# 
           AND INTSURFACE <= 3 
           AND DIST < 1760


     Data Summary          Win         Place          Show
     -----------------------------------------------------
     Mutuel Totals     1869.70       1895.70       1761.60
     Bet              -2184.00      -2184.00      -2184.00
     -----------------------------------------------------
     P/L               -314.30       -288.30       -422.40

     Wins                  151           304           436
     Plays                1092          1092          1092
     PCT                 .1383         .2784         .3993

     ROI                0.8561        0.8680        0.8066
     Avg Mut             12.38          6.24          4.04


     By: SQL-F34 Rank

     Rank       P/L        Bet        Roi    Wins   Plays     Pct     Impact
     -----------------------------------------------------------------------
      1     -145.60     332.00     0.5614      10     166   .0602     0.4356  
      2      -84.20     308.00     0.7266      20     154   .1299     0.9392  
      3       36.40     332.00     1.1096      30     166   .1807     1.3069  
      4      -71.10     292.00     0.7565      25     146   .1712     1.2383  
      5       22.20     298.00     1.0745      28     149   .1879     1.3590  
      6      -63.80     236.00     0.7297      15     118   .1271     0.9193  
      7       11.90     172.00     1.0692      11      86   .1279     0.9250  
      8       48.20     108.00     1.4463       9      54   .1667     1.2053  
      9      -34.40      52.00     0.3385       1      26   .0385     0.2781  
     10      -13.90      34.00     0.5912       2      17   .1176     0.8508  
     11      -12.00      12.00     0.0000       0       6   .0000     0.0000  
     12       -6.00       6.00     0.0000       0       3   .0000     0.0000  
     13       -2.00       2.00     0.0000       0       1   .0000     0.0000  
     14        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000  
     15        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000  
     16        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000  
     17        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000  
     18        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000  
     19        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000
Code:
     query start:         7/8/2016 9:14:15 AM
     query end:           7/8/2016 9:14:15 AM
     elapsed time:        0 seconds

     Data Window Settings:
     Connected to: C:\JCapper\exe\JCapper2.mdb
     999 Divisor  Odds Cap: None

     SQL:  SELECT * FROM STARTERHISTORY
           WHERE TRACK = 'BEL' 
           AND [DATE] >= #01-01-2016# 
           AND INTSURFACE <= 3 
           AND DIST >= 1760


     Data Summary          Win         Place          Show
     -----------------------------------------------------
     Mutuel Totals      928.50        867.20        864.00
     Bet              -1154.00      -1154.00      -1154.00
     -----------------------------------------------------
     P/L               -225.50       -286.80       -290.00

     Wins                   84           168           253
     Plays                 577           577           577
     PCT                 .1456         .2912         .4385

     ROI                0.8046        0.7515        0.7487
     Avg Mut             11.05          5.16          3.42


     By: SQL-F34 Rank

     Rank       P/L        Bet        Roi    Wins   Plays     Pct     Impact
     -----------------------------------------------------------------------
      1     -116.20     168.00     0.3083       8      84   .0952     0.6542  
      2       30.80     168.00     1.1833      11      84   .1310     0.8995  
      3      -49.10     168.00     0.7077      13      84   .1548     1.0631  
      4      -61.00     168.00     0.6369      13      84   .1548     1.0631  
      5      -17.20     168.00     0.8976      16      84   .1905     1.3084  
      6      -57.50     146.00     0.6062      10      73   .1370     0.9410  
      7       -2.70      94.00     0.9713       7      47   .1489     1.0230  
      8       68.60      34.00     3.0176       4      17   .2353     1.6162  
      9      -11.00      24.00     0.5417       1      12   .0833     0.5724  
     10       -4.20      10.00     0.5800       1       5   .2000     1.3738  
     11       -2.00       2.00     0.0000       0       1   .0000     0.0000  
     12       -2.00       2.00     0.0000       0       1   .0000     0.0000  
     13       -2.00       2.00     0.0000       0       1   .0000     0.0000  
     14        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000  
     15        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000  
     16        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000  
     17        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000  
     18        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000  
     19        0.00       0.00     0.0000       0       0   .0000     0.0000
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