Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
I think there is a place for long term trends and short term trends. But for the most part, catching on to the short term ones before the public does is the best way to make it profitable. By the time sample size is big enough, profits shrink or disappear.
As an example, there was a time when Jorge Navarro had similar stats as Joseph does currently. But now, past year first after he claims...
17 for 83, 20%, $1.11 ROI per $2. People overdid it, he doesn't win as much, but he is still bet like he does.
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I'm still trying to figure out why he went from a 27-30% trainer to an average 15% trainer. It's not simply regression to the mean and it's not because he's forgotten how to place his horses. New vet, someone gives a warning and not tell anyone, personal problems? Tough game to begin with, tougher trying to figure out the behind the scenes action.... although it can show up midway through a race
