Brohammer touches on what you are getting at in his book if I believe ... that is if I understand what you are saying.
He says that you cannot just compare FPS against one another to determine who will be where or who will get the lead. You also have to consider running styles. Because as you said above, a horse who tracked in 3rd in a 58.00 first fraction isn't automatically going to the lead next time out even that first fraction is slower.
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