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Old 08-01-2021, 11:47 AM   #11
Mick
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Join Date: Jul 2021
Location: Chicago in summer, New Orleans in Winter.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
The stats on FTS suggest that those that get bet are less likely to finish 2nd or 3rd than their win odds suggest. They tend to be more all or nothing than the typical horse probably due to gate and greenness issues. But the public is pretty sharp and bets them accordingly.
Yes, I see that there is a lot more information available today about FTS and lightly raced horses than back in the day. That is why there are fewer great odds on logical firsters.

What I like about these races is that those sharp handicappers that rely on computer statistics are less likely to be interested in these baby races. Pace scenarios are very unpredictable when you have 4-5 FTS in a race.
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