Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
Happy to post the TimeformUS numbers but I'm not sure where this is going. What makes a race comparable to another? Tracks change speed and horses are at different points in their form cycle. Anyway, here goes:
Burma Road 114, 114
Mr. Jägermeister 120, 98 (You realize the 98 was as a young 2yo, right?)
Puntsville 99, 113, 106 (Assuming the middle race is 9-16)
Trident Hero 88, 86 (Assuming the first race is 8-18, not 11-18)
Shoot Craps 93, 88 (I put the most recent first, you had dates reversed above)
Be A Lady 100, 89
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Thanks for your response.
I was looking for races with similar times and DRF figs and variants, even though I know they are not perfect.
Burma Road was the only turf example I found in the two days I looked at, so that could be another reason it's a questionable example. Even though you the two races equal, Bris makes one race 5 point higher.
I know Mr. Jägermeister 8/20/17 race was as a two year old but the times were equal at the same track with almost equal variants.
When I handicap a race with lightly raced three year old horses with one or two races as a two year old and then comes back in the Spring at three, I adjust the two year old races faster. Most two year old horses improve a lot after a winter lay off.
While I would not have adjusted the 2 year old race faster for his 3 year old season, because he had 4 races a s a two year old, I would not make it slower either.
