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I'm convinced
After nearly half a century at this game,I'm convinced that handicapping doesn't get it done often enough.Too many horses win today that are off 3-4 weeks or more.Of course,horses in general don't race as frequently as they did in the 70's and 80's.So there's that.
I now believe that the tote board gives you a better chance of finding "smart " money.
Tonight in the 4th at Turfway,a F&M race for non-winners of two in the past year,I noticed that the outside horse had been bet down well below its morning line and had been heavily bet in the double.
Sure enough,it started slow before circling about 5 horses on the turn and blowing past the rest in the stretch.
It's possible that this type of approach works best for sprints,claimers,and possibly females.
I'm hoping that my next 50 years will turn out better.
BTW-For harness racing,I'm beginning to believe that more winners can be found from the charts and followed from there.
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