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I thought you guys might find this interesting. Over the last 19 results dating back to late September 2018, the standard deviation is $22,105.
Here are the confidence intervals
68.3%, SEx̄ 9875.9014136886 - 20018.624902101
90%, 1.645SEx̄ 6604.8730886757 - 23289.653227114
95%, 1.960SEx̄ 5007.3941392508 - 24887.132176539
99%, 2.576SEx̄ 1883.4353048198 - 28011.09101097
I don't think the mean means much, but if you are interested, the mean payout for the last 19 paydays was $14,947. The lowest payout was $565, highest was $88,286. If I am reading the Laurel site correctly, that high payout was not after a carryover. The payouts after the 3 carryover in this time period were:
$17,832
$4,777
$9,679
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