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Originally Posted by Valento
Exactly. Your logic (and mine) is flying right over the heads of some on here. It has almost NOTHING to do with handicapping who might win, or why a horse is vulnerable to get beat and so on. It has ONLY to do with creating a morning line that will closely replicate the betting.
If someone, even Jon White, wants to pick apart Habibi at 2-1 morning line, fine! Great! But to make her a co third choice is silly. Maybe I'll be the idiot here but my experience leads me to believe she will be between 3-2 and 2-1. Maybe, maybe, maybe slide up to 5-2 but absolutely no higher. She will be the favorite or second favorite to the Mullins runner.
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Trust me nothing is flying over anybody's head. I gave you the LOGIC behind why Habibi wont be as low as you think, and even another opinion that will be printed under her PPs in every DRF sold that says that person is just going to watch her and not bet. Its pretty hard to be the favorite unless people are betting.
Oh I forgot to add you dont think the 2 will be the favorite OR even the 2nd choice? LMAO
