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Originally Posted by ultracapper
Valento's right. White knows all this stuff, and has handicapped it in. He basically gives us HIS ML instead of what the public would be expected to do. He has always done it this way as far as I can see. His job is to come as close to the final odds as possible, not to give us his opinion. Drives me CRAZY!!!! Because there have been times when his opinion has been DEAD WRONG, and he's made many a ML on that. I've seen his ML fav go to 4th or 5th in the betting, AND HE KNEW IT WOULD. Even said it during the paddock commentary. Man, I wish I could remember the race a couple years ago when he made, I believe a Koriner trained horse, 20-1 ML because he did not like it's last race. First flip of the board, 3-1. Goes off at about 6 if I remember and just airmails. Wins by 5 or some such nonsense.
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I am not talking about his morning lines overall, just this one in particular. New low profile trainer, new country, long layoff, works not particularly anything special. *8-5 morning line favorite would have been ridiculous to me.
Where did you hear he makes the lines on what HE thinks they should be not the public? I have heard him 100 times on the radio say the exact opposite, that his lines are what he thinks the PUBLIC will make the horse.
Believe it or not from what I hear him say what goes into it he spends a lot of time and thought into making his line. Very conscientious about it.........sometimes he is wrong.
