Quote:
Originally Posted by AndyC
So your algorithms are just for race classes? If the algorithms are used to identify a vulnerable favorite wouldn't that be horse-by-horse? The theme of this thread seems to have centered on a certain race classes yielding more vulnerable favorites so that if a NW3L race was being run there would be presumption of a vulnerable favorite. To me a vulnerable favorite is one that would win at a lesser rate than normal for the given odds.
|
well from that stand point, everything is horse to horse. Its impossible to just say I play these races as the fav does not win as much. Even in the best case its going to be > than 30% winners.
Some of mine are class based but almost all are some kind of combination of angle based. One of my best plays against is NW1X/OC1X, broke mdn last out by large margin, pace below race par, bad barn, ML Fav. These horses have an IV below .50 and win well below the 35% avg winner for that class.
