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I think about Simplification's effort in the Derby. He was 15th into that pace and passed 9 or 10 horses late. Was this the kind of effort that would effect him 2 weeks later? Then, I compare it to Epicenter's effort. Are we sure Epicenter is ready to put in a big effort so soon? If they each stalk, are we certain that Epicenter can outkick Simplification?
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