The charts data has pool size for each race.
Based on pool size history, day of week, field size, etc. it's not hard to estimate (ballpark) pool sizes for the race in front of you.
During a phone conversation with members of a CAW team several years ago I was told they were in every pool at every track that distributed a signal.
Except for special event days like KY Derby, Preakness, Belmont, BC, etc., they were looking to have their handle end up being no more than 1.50% to 1.75% of every pool.
If they ended up with less than that they were leaving money on the table.
If they ended up with more than that they were cannibalizing their returns.
The most interesting part to me was their approach to special event days which can easily be 8X or 10X the handle of a good Saturday card.
They were willing to increase their handle on special event days to maybe 1.4X or 1.5X that of a good Saturday card.
But they weren't willing to risk doing 8X or 10X even though the pools could easily support that.
When I asked "Why Not?" I was told "Because that would be gambling."
It's possible not all CAW teams share that same view.
But it was obvious consistency mattered to them.
-jp
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__________________
Team JCapper: 2011 PAIHL Regular Season ROI Leader after 15 weeks
www.JCapper.com
Last edited by Jeff P; 08-31-2023 at 12:14 AM.
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