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Old 09-21-2017, 10:28 AM   #232
FakeNameChanged
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Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 2,176
Race 2 GP 9/21

Race 2-Gulfstream-9/21 -1 Mile-6250 n2L-Purse = 16,000
Will again look at the pace(Fulc. Pace), adj. SR’s and late speed/ability time using various methods.

-Traffic Express-10-1 ML-46 day layoff. FP = n.a.(112.4/113.0) tent. SR’s are 70-84-62. The 84 was earned at 7f. Late speed looks to be bottom or 2nd last.

-Flying Rocket- 5/2 ML- FP = 112.3(fulcrum pace)-since Thask responded in last attempt, I now look at E2 pace numbers to see if they are atypical. Adj. sr’s are 75-66-81. Fly. Rkt is a lightly raced horse(4) and may still show more improvement. Late speed abt- looks to 2nd by my calcs.-Did his rail post on sly track help in l.r.? Prob. Favorite.

-Hy Dandy 8-1 ML FP = n.a.(113.0-111.1) 60 day l/o. 2lr and 3lr shows he can stay with pace. His adj. Sr’s are 51-79-83. His late speed abt. Looks to be last among these.Unknown layoff horses bother me, but he hasn’t shown another layoff in last 10. Nice 3f 35.4 only 4 days ago.

-Wise Warrior -8-1 ML FP = n.a.(111.3-111.4-113.3) He’s been mostly a sprinter, but back in April at 1M, he put up a 112.1 pace to 6f. His adj. SR’s 80-87-67 all sprints and his mile back in April was a 53. I have his last spd abt at 5th. I’d like to see more routes on his resume. It looks hypothetically, like he should be able to control the pace, and have something left to finish. Trainer hasn’t shown that yet.

-Off The Chain- 9/2 ML FP = 113.2 (112.2-112.3) Adj. SR 66-73-70. His late spd abil tms. are 3rd by my calcs. He ran a decent 3rd against a prob favorite in his last race while 5 wide on a good trk.They took off the apprentice in that race and a low pct. Journeyman is back on. His form cycle does look to be improving.

-Put the Boss Back 3-1 ML: FP = 113.0 (113.3-113.1-112.3). Adj. sr 71-67-72(6.5f)-my calcs show his late spd abil at 1st. His last two races were head knockers where he led or contended for lead at every call. He just lost l.r. By ¾ lgth. Will vie with for p.t. Favorite.

-Knockout Ranger 7/2-ML- FP = n.a.(112.4-112.2-112.0-112.2) Ran 2nd by 14 in last race where the pace was 1.11.0. Adj. SRs 85-75-71--78. Late speed abt’s are either 3rd/4th.

While this race may appear crystal clear to be many of you, it’s murky to me(like a lot of others). So I did another thing(old school) to see if it gets any clearer.
-47.4 - 113.0 - 139.3 (fifth’s)
-47.4 - 112.3 - 139.2
-47.3 - 112.4 - 139.3
-47.0 - 112.3 - 139.3 (based on sprints?)
-47.3 - 112.4/113.0 - 139.4
-48.0/48.1 - 113.1/113.2 - 139.2
-47.4 - 112.4 - 139.0

My picks are /// I've discounted the from two tough ones in a row. If a buddy was asking me at track, I'd probably tell him to box the 1/3/6.
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Last edited by FakeNameChanged; 09-21-2017 at 10:29 AM.
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