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Horse wins looking like it should've been 8/5 and everyone bitches because it was "only" 50-1. Because all of their handicapping "systems" failed to produce the winner there's something wrong in Mudville?
Yet, going in, there was a lot of talk about the absence of horses that had broken the 100-Beyer mark. That suggested that a 3YO improving at the right time could claim center stage. There were a number of posts in a variety of threads on this board that pointed out that the rail was good when it was wet at Churchill and that Calvin was the rail-riding man. The original ML fav left the scene earlier in the day which created additional bettors' confusion. It's "coulda woulda shoulda" to the max, with attempts to backfit the result to some set of statistics. Maybe, in spite of boatloads of data and atom-splitting computer horsepower, we still have work to do; or, maybe there's just enough randomness left in the game to keep it interesting until the next time they go around.
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Richard Bauer
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