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Old 03-05-2023, 11:12 AM   #31
classhandicapper
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
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Those obvious fast pace races for very inexperienced horses like in the Gotham can be tricky.

There are horses you almost certain are going to go and likely to suffer from the pace. You can toss those.

There are horses that have shown a willingness to rate and finish at shorter distances, but you don’t know if they can rate and finish going longer.

There are horses that can sit just off the pace going longer, but will they take back further or get drawn into pace if it gets extreme. If it’s fast but doesn’t get extreme, they may be in the perfect spot instead of disadvantaged. But if it’s extreme, they are at a big disadvantage.

There are horses you know are going to close and take advantage of the pace, but are they good enough if it doesn’t get extreme?

I’m sick that I screwed that one up. I overthought the race.
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