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Old 01-31-2019, 02:56 PM   #34
AndyC
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Join Date: Dec 2011
Posts: 4,285
Quote:
Originally Posted by pandy View Post
I agree. I bet a lot of big longshots and many of them finish 2nd.
The question is not whether big longshots finish second but whether the probability of them finishing second are reflected in the payoffs. In my not so recent research I found that lower odds horses were underplayed in the underneath slots of verticals and longshots were overplayed. Doesn't mean it happened every time but far more often than not.
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