Quote:
Originally Posted by MJC922
When I've already placed a bet and then subsequently observe the horse starts to look bad and/or acts up approaching the gate. It kind of falls under the racing luck category but it's also on me because I know betting too early is less than ideal for exactly that reason. Sure some do win anyway, but not enough...
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Would love to know some numbers on that, but I guess it also depends on how bad they act up and whether that is normal for that horse.
There was a race a couple of years ago at Aqueduct at beginning of winter season, I really like this horse, but it was coming off of grass races to dirt, I still liked the horse. They interviewed the trainer about a minute before post, he said he had no idea how horse would run, I thought about cancelling bet but glad I didn't as horse won at 8 to 1. Usually once I make a bet I just stick with it.