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Old 03-09-2020, 09:39 PM   #40
paulbenny
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I am going to try to summarize statistics, and again, it is important to be unbiased and reasonable. I think I am. I did ace stats in college but am not a statistics man. Substantially higher win rates than average when adjusting for field size for each trainer, a tough number to get at but I am sure it could be had, would be a great baseline.



So gut reaction to the indictment of the people such as Servis and Navarro is that even a tepid discussion on numbers would suggest the 25-30 percent win rate is pretty darn good. So not to be accusatory, but I think that anyone trying anything shifty will go down in performance in the next year, and it will go unexplained. A few will disappear, and I do not know their names. Moreover, if they see substantial criminal situations with the NY Southern District indictments, they might really disappear in mass or revert to the average Joe.


Only time will tell.
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