Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
As we can see, only 3 of the 10 winners from 2002 - 2011 had posted a 100 BSF or better prior to a 9F prep, and only half had posted a 100 or better going into the Derby.
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Gosh, could it possibly be that Beyer numbers give no consideration to the female side of the horse's breeding, or to their actual inherited stamina?
Imagine that!
FWIW, on a chart tracking 50 derby stats, BSF takes up 1 column. Why anyone would 'cap a classic distance race depending on BSFs is beyond me.
Remind me again what beyer's batting average picking the KY Derby winner for last 20 year is...
Horses like Justify, Amercan Pharoah, etc. aren't exactly hard to figure out...if you want to make 80 cents or so.