for this specific race - have a different fade - actually slightly against
? Dayoutoftheoffice.
I think she's a nice filly, but I don't like her to win here, and I don't love her to complete an exacta or tri (if she happens to take significant enough money in win/exa/etc.., to make this a significant opinion).
Have the Bris figs in front of me. I prefer the Beyers, but can see that the Frizette may have been one of the races with higher Beyers than the G2 Chandelier S. ??(Princess Noor), and just as important; I handicapped and watched the Frizette and have the opinion that while Dayoutoftheoffice is a nice big filly with some baseline talent and very good fundamentals, that she hasn't shown me any brilliance. I'd have to think Dayoutoftheoffice would need a good trip, and for others to fail to get this distance (possible, but not at a short price).
Haven't seen the morning lines or the sportsbook or pre-odds yet, so maybe this isn't a top-3 public choice.
Generally, yea, the lower speed figs is who you want to try to beat.
Princess Noor has a couple of tradeoffs. She's trained by a top trainer, who has shown the ability to skip class levels, as well as train up to races. Also she has taken a ton of money from her first start.
The models are in a 'tradeoff' of opposing directions(-lowFigs vs. +trainer +$), and I hate tradeoffs.
Boils down to whether you want to take the low-figs at face value, or whether you also have an additional negative opinion/model to tip the scales, or whether her short price is enough to warrant a small gamble against, in hopes of a big return.
