Quote:
Originally Posted by tucker6
Since ocean level rise is on the order of ~9 inches per century and has been for several centuries, I'll take under on all bets. 35 inches in 30 years is literally 13 times higher than the current rate. Methinks a problem exists in the forecast.
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Not sure where you get your data, but "several" centuries before the industrial revolution is irrelevant.
https://sealevel.nasa.gov/understand...al-projections
SEMs [Rahmstorf et al., 2012 and references therein] take a simple approach—a kind of shortcut—to simulating future sea level rise. Instead of trying to model the processes underlying sea level change,
these models rely on sea-level changes observed in previous decades and their relationship to global temperature. Then they apply that same relationship to the century to come.
The resulting projections tend to be significantly higher than those derived from process-based modeling.
