Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
IMO…the most important thing for the horseplayer to do is to avoid self-deception. We’ve all been in the game long enough to know where we stand, as far as “profitability” in the game is concerned. If we keep losing long-term and we keep fooling ourselves into believing that the “next idea” is the one that will turn us into the ‘winner’ that we envision ourselves to be…then we are asking for serious trouble.
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I believe one of the major hurdles that traditional handicappers face which inevitably could cause their “self-deception” is being mentally locked into to specific methodologies. These tactics predictably can’t handle the fluctuation of all the variables within a diversity of race types and their conditions. Unfortunately, the scope of numerous approaches is limited at best. That’s only because they can’t account for many of the unknown factors involved when dealing with the flesh and blood aspects of the animals’ mental and physical condition at any given time.
The game and those physically participating can best be described as unique at any specific moment. Ultimately changing from one idea to another to satisfy that uniqueness would be akin to placing a band aid on a deep laceration. I believe that’s one of the reasons why many of the more successful players prefer to play within a specific niche that puts them in a more reasonable comfort zone based on past successful experiences. They have accepted the fact when handicapping that “one size (idea) does not fit all”.
