Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
Good question. Our figures are meant to indicate race shape within a race, not to be compared to other races on different surfaces or different distances. We have something called adjusted fractions for that. These are for comparing which horse was actually traveling the fastest velocity wise. These are how Races 12 and 13 looked for the winner's on that measure:
 |
Is it mostly the run-ups and turn times that account for the differences? what does the 17 pt. difference in the 6F and 8F splits equal in either real time or lengths?
Also, would appreciate your thoughts on this generalization....
One length is 8 feet, five lengths would be 40.
Beaten one length at a sprint equals approx. 1/5th of a second, beaten 5 lengths would be 1 second.
First calls (1/4) for 6F races at Pimlico historically have always been at least :23 seconds. Average 1/4 times for 6F races Saturday at Pimlico would support that. Therefore, imo, taking away one full second would get one to a truer time, handicapping wise, and on par with what a horse has demonstrated he can run in his other pps.
With that said can we assume that 40 feet is enough to get a thoroughbred up to race speed in a sprint? If it is 40 feet at a sprint wouldn't it be less at a route? Is there really that much difference (with the time/figures being discussed) between a run-up of 30 feet as opposed to 55 feet when trying to gauge how fast they are going?
