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my best advice would be to keep it simple, instead of trying to figure how much you are going to win, try to figure out how not to lose, or lose less. you will get your winners that way.
by the way, most of you guys out there work with good sets of numbers and programs, andi realise that some guys are winning or were winning in the past. i promise you that going forward that will not alway's be the case. this is still a parimutual game and only the strong survive, eventually there will be only strong ones left.
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