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Raw Time
Once again the actual final time proved to be a factor in handicapping the Derby. The most important prep races are the 9 furlong races. Always Dreaming won the Florida Derby in 1:47.2, a fast time, and the fastest 9 furlong prep race. I recall the 2015 Florida Derby won by Materiality, who unfortunately passed away, in a very slow time. The Beyer speed figure for the 2015 Florida Derby was a very strong 110, even thought the race was very slow, 1:52.3. The thinking was that the time was slow because of the track, but the time was slow because the horses were slow. The 2015 Florida Derby proved to be a negative key race.
As I've said before, the actual fractions and final times do matter.
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