Quote:
Originally Posted by f2tornado
I gave this some more thought and research...
Only three post time favorites won the race in last 20 years.
Seven of the last eight odds-on favorites tanked.
One one favorite hit the exacta in past decade.
American Pharoah was the primary exception.
Since I don't believe Justify could carry AP's saddle cloth, most of my wagers will leave Justify out of the exacta.
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The Belmont Stakes cannot be handicapped, IMO, based on traditional handicapping factors, thus the public has not done well at betting the race.
12 furlongs on dirt is like asking Usain Bolt to run a mile in the Olympics.
