Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
Shouldn't you try to limit it to races where a pure dutch in the exact pays more than the win bet. That's not too hard to calculate. The risk is that the win/exacta prices change after you make your wager and you wind up in the wrong pool or that a single exact prices changes and you didn't bet enough on that combination.
My variation would be leaving out a single horse underneath I think is very overbet
|
In that regard, I looked at a few races, and what was promising was when the calculated "dutch" probability exceeded the win probability and the bet size was tested agains the win probability and the "ducth" probability.
I'll let you know how things work out after 35 races.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
|
