Quote:
Originally Posted by headhawg
Jeff P has a couple of posts in the Holy Bull thread that you might find interesting.
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I don't (usually)make the fulcrum one of my top A's, unless of course, it is, haha. There's also an old thread on here by someone who did a study showing the fulcrum pace horse was ITM 50% over a LOT of races, not sure how many. My point was occasionally, the fulcrum is a pace standout and the odds are very favorable, so it gets included in "some" of my plays, not all. Everything works some of the time, never all of the time; tote, speed/pace improvement, fulcrum, top class l.r., etc.-all get a look by me, in who to include. If I throw one out because of someone else's roi study, that's a decision to be made. My meaning was that for me, not including the fulcrum, is at my peril in exacta play. Others on here, say we should include closers in our exacta plays; while I don't have a closer angle, they often get included through some other factor. And they are often not a fulcrum qualifier in their last race only.
Handicapping races has changed so many times over the decades I'm playing, it's one of the attractions in that it keeps making us learn something new to be able to cash a decent ticket.
