Quote:
Originally Posted by BroadwayJoe
it might seem that way but testing it shows the truth...
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I did test it.
I used intuition (handicapping insights?) to weight each factor based on decades of handicapping experience, put those weights into the database, ran thousands of races against my database, and it calculated the win%, in the money%, average finish position, and ROI of the top choice.
I ran an Excel regression on the same factors, used the weighting provided by Excel regression, and tested it again.
My weights were slightly better.
Then I started manually tweaking the weights to see if I could improve it further. I improved on my weights a bit further and locked it in to test going forward.
