GENERAL COMMENT
I have been busy compiling my wagers and have not been on the board in a while. I am giving an non statistical view on this. I love this idea though. It seems like 2 for 1 in average field sizes that are shrinking coupled with randomness and a 15 or so percent average takeout makes logical sense to wager on in a high rebate shop environment.
1/8 is 12.5 but 2/9 is .22 and you start running numbers on averages with randomness and you are getting close. The driver to all of this was Serling saying entries are overbet. But how much? and really who ever ran these numbers. I am going to spend a lot of dedicated time on this and share the information when the temp starts to plunge. I am not a SA player to the positive and need to get better so research is important.
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